Tropical Cyclone Winds
The UrbanFootprint Tropical Cyclone Wind Risk Model estimates the present and future (2015-2050) frequency of tropical cyclone-force winds on a national 0.1 x 0.1-degree grid. As input, we use datasets from Bloemendaal et al. (2020, 2022), which contain 10,000 years of synthetic tropical cyclone tracks during the historical period and 10,000 years from each of four climate model future simulations. Our calculations involve modeling tropical cyclone wind for each storm track and creating a tropical cyclone wind distribution at each grid cell. We fit the tail of the distributions using a Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) to estimate the frequency of exceedance for tropical cyclones according to the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Availability: Location Insights | Climate & Hazard Insights